Monday, July 09, 2007

Submarine Terrorism Plots in Progress?

Consider the nature of two "buyers" that we know about:

Iran
North Korea agrees to supply 4 mini-submarines.

Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF), the Islamist terrorist group and the largest guerrilla movement in the Philippines.
North Korea had already indicated that it would sell one or more mini-submarines to the MILF, but has yet to deliver. North Korea hesitates because U.S. and Philippine intelligence sources discovered the deal. The MILF made a $1 million downpayment and still owes $1.2 million on its mini-sub buy.

Next, consider the al-Qaeda Submarine Threat to oil terminals, including the world’s largest offshore oil export terminal at Ra's Tannūrah (Ras Tanura).

More mundane dive targets were discussed here, recently.

Not mentioned, however, is the use of mini-submarines (obviously ideal) for delivery of suitcase, nuclear bombs to waiting SUVs in North American coastal areas. Or worse, deliveries of lethal biological agents to aquifers or water supplies. Not a threat, you say... well the FBI recently alerted U.S. dive shops toward suspicious divers, bubbleless equipment and underwater vehicles. Draw your own conclusions.

Submarines are always silent and strange.

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2 Comments:

At 09 July, 2007 22:17, Blogger Lubber's Line said...

Vigilis, the possibility of an al-Qaeda attack by divers in a US port is probably remote but not totally impossible. Tougher logistics to manage, more aware civilian authorities and a boating public that would in all probability take notice of something suspicious around a high value target.
On the other hand I do think that in the Persian Gulf a USS Cole type suicide attack only from a low-tech submerged mini-sub is more likely. Al-Qaeda has a tendency to revisit targets with bigger and bolder plans (e.g. WTC). If the explosion the ripped a hole in the side of the USS Cole was under the keel the explosive energy transfer would have been much greater and probably broke her back.

Of course we all know the Navy has thought of this and god’s creatures (Sea Lions, Dolphins and Navy Seals) are on patrol where they’re needed.

 
At 10 July, 2007 12:11, Blogger Vigilis said...

LL, you make important points on our harbor defenses, of course. In addition, radiation monitors and satellite reconnaissance protect our harbors from wouldbe suitcase nuke smugglers. Not necessarilly so along remote coastlines, however. Thanks for stopping by.

 

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